2015 Season results for St. Pius (BV,5-5A)

25   5   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1071     -152
Strength     Momentum
1127   58.6(11)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  12W   7L   3T 
District  3W   2L   1T 
Expected  16:   5+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 at Los Lunas 0.000931W 1- 0 Expected (0)1061 71%
08/27/15 Sandia Prep 0.0001201W 3- 2 Better (+2)1176 31%
09/02/15 at Taos 0.0011104W 3- 1 Better (+3)1197 41%
09/04/15 Los Alamos !! 0.0011300W 2- 0 Better (+4)1276 18%
09/05/15 Gallup 0.000579W 12- 0 Expected (+7)1451 97%
09/08/15 at Rio Rancho 0.0031315L 1- 3 Expected (+1)1103 14%
09/09/15 at St. Michael's ! 0.001904W 7- 0 Expected (+6)1354 74%
09/12/15 Volcano Vista 0.0071251T 0- 0 Better (+2)1151 24%
09/15/15 at Sandia 0.0121278L 1- 2 Expected (+1)1134 17%
09/18/15 Farmington 0.0201250T 3- 3 Better (+2)1151 24%
09/19/15 Piedra Vista 0.005801W 8- 0 Expected (+5)1336 87%
09/24/15 at Eldorado ?? 0.0471150L 2- 3 Expected (0)1070 33%
09/26/15 Aztec 0.0521058W 3- 0 Expected (+3)1205 56%
10/02/15 La Cueva 0.0971305L 1- 4 Expected (-1)1028 18%
10/06/15 Moriarty 0.113981W 6- 1 Expected (+4)1269 68%
10/08/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.1041495L 1- 7 Expected (-2) 989 5%
10/13/15 Grants 0.032588W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1340 96%
10/15/15 at Moriarty 0.434981T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1036 62%
10/22/15 at Grants 0.039588W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1359 95%
10/24/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.5451495L 0- 3 Expected (+1)1123 6%
10/30/15 Los Lunas 0.842931W 3- 1 Expected (0)1091 76%
11/05/15 * Los Alamos ? 0.8261300L 0- 3 Expected (-1)1045 16%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1127, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1087
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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