25 5 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1071 -152 Strength Momentum |
1127 58.6(11) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.000 | 931 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1061 | 71% | |
08/27/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.000 | 1201 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1176 | 31% | |
09/02/15 | at Taos | 0.001 | 1104 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1197 | 41% | |
09/04/15 | Los Alamos !! | 0.001 | 1300 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1276 | 18% | |
09/05/15 | Gallup | 0.000 | 579 | W 12- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1451 | 97% | |
09/08/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.003 | 1315 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1103 | 14% | |
09/09/15 | at St. Michael's ! | 0.001 | 904 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1354 | 74% | |
09/12/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.007 | 1251 | T 0- 0 | Better (+2) | 1151 | 24% | |
09/15/15 | at Sandia | 0.012 | 1278 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1134 | 17% | |
09/18/15 | Farmington | 0.020 | 1250 | T 3- 3 | Better (+2) | 1151 | 24% | |
09/19/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.005 | 801 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1336 | 87% | |
09/24/15 | at Eldorado ?? | 0.047 | 1150 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1070 | 33% | |
09/26/15 | Aztec | 0.052 | 1058 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1205 | 56% | |
10/02/15 | La Cueva | 0.097 | 1305 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1028 | 18% | |
10/06/15 | Moriarty | 0.113 | 981 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1269 | 68% | |
10/08/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.104 | 1495 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 989 | 5% | |
10/13/15 | Grants | 0.032 | 588 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1340 | 96% | |
10/15/15 | at Moriarty | 0.434 | 981 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1036 | 62% | |
10/22/15 | at Grants | 0.039 | 588 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1359 | 95% | |
10/24/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.545 | 1495 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1123 | 6% | |
10/30/15 | Los Lunas | 0.842 | 931 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1091 | 76% | |
11/05/15 | * Los Alamos ? | 0.826 | 1300 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1045 | 16% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1127, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1087
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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